‘The Oil Market Has Not Responded Very Highly To The Iran-Israel Tensions’: Peter Cardillo
October 3, 2024
US Sept payrolls jump takes Nov 50 bp cut off the table
October 4, 2024By Johann M Cherian and Purvi Agarwal
October 3, 202410:45 AM EDTUpdated 8 min ago
Oct 3 (Reuters) – Wall Street’s main indexes were mixed on Thursday after data showed strong service activity in the world’s largest economy, while cautious investors watched for any escalation in the Middle East conflict.
The benchmark S&P 500 pared losses after the Institute for Supply Management survey showed service sector activity, which makes up the majority of the U.S. economy, stood at 54.9 in September, compared with an estimate of 51.7, according to economists Reuters polled.
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However, separate data showed weekly jobless claims rose marginally last week. Next up is Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report for September.
Odds of a 25-basis-point cut at the Federal Reserve’s November meeting now stand at 64.9%, up from 50.7% a week ago, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI), opens new tab fell 137.01 points, or 0.32%, to 42,059.51, the S&P 500 (.SPX), opens new tab gained 5.62 points, or 0.10%, to 5,716.01, and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC), opens new tab gained 83.86 points, or 0.45%, to 18,006.65.
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Eight of the 11 S&P 500 sectors opened lower. However, infotech shares (.SPLRCT), opens new tab were the biggest gainers, with a 1.3% rise.
Rate-sensitive heavyweights were mixed, with Amazon.com (AMZN.O), opens new tab down 0.8%, Apple (AAPL.O), opens new tab losing 0.1%, while Nvidia (NVDA.O), opens new tab rose 4.5%.
Yields on two-year and 10-year Treasury bonds , inched higher and were last up 3.68% and 3.8%, respectively.
Investors have been wary over the last two sessions as they contemplated the scale of Israel and the United States’ response to Iran’s recent attack on Israel. The CBOE volatility index, Wall Street’s fear gauge (.VIX), opens new tab, hovered at more than three-week highs at 19.22.
00:13Market Insight: PMIs, payrolls and oil prices – investors have reasons to be cautious
“We’ll see some cautiousness due to two factors: the war headlines that continue to impact the equities market and tomorrow’s unemployment data,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist, Spartan Capital Securities.
“We’ll probably have a mixed market session today as investors’ cautiousness rises ahead of tomorrow’s key macro data of the month.”
Investors will also assess comments from Fed policymakers Raphael Bostic and Neel Kashkari later in the day.
U.S. stocks have rallied for much of the year, with the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX), opens new tab confirming a bull rally and logging gains in eight of the previous nine months on expectations of lower borrowing costs. Tech stocks (.SPLRCT), opens new tab led the charge, with AI integration expected to boost their earnings.
Meanwhile, a workers’ strike on the East and Gulf coasts entered its third day. Morgan Stanley economists said a prolonged stoppage could raise consumer prices, with food prices likely to react first.
Among other movers, oil stocks such as Chevron (CVX.N), opens new tab and Exxon Mobil (XOM.N), opens new tab edged higher after four sessions of gains, as crude prices rose more than 2%.
Levi Strauss (LEVI.N), opens new tab slid 7.2% after the company said it was considering a sale of its underperforming Dockers brand and forecast fourth-quarter revenue below expectations.
Constellation Brands (STZ.N), opens new tab dropped 2.1% after the beer maker maintained its sales and profit forecast for fiscal year 2025.
Declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 2.61-to-1 ratio on the NYSE, and by a 1.57-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.
The S&P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and two new lows, while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 31 new highs and 60 new lows.
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Reporting by Johann M Cherian and Purvi Agarwal in Bengaluru; Editing by Pooja Desai
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab
